But the most telling results will come from gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, two states that voted similarly in 2024 but may now be drifting in opposite directions. The results there will offer clues about the political weather before the midterms in November 2026.

All eyes are on Virginia ahead of Election Day — and one of the country’s most accurate political forecasters says the Commonwealth’s top race may already be all but decided.

Elections in New Jersey, Virginia, California and elsewhere are the first big opportunity since Trump's 2024 victory to gauge voter sentiment.

Over 1.4 million early votes were cast in Virginia as of Nov. 2, which is almost 300,000 more than the 2021 election, according to data from the Virginia Public Access Project.