Is the US in a recession right now, and did the US-Iran war trigger one? Here's what a recession is and what it means to you.

Wall Street veteran Jim Paulsen said tech is the only bright spot in the economy, comparing the bifurcation to the Mag 7 vs. the rest of the S&P 500.

Will we see a recession in the US in 2026? Seeking Alpha analysts Damir Tokic and Ironman at Political Calculations weigh in with their thoughts. Damir Tokic: The probability of a recession in 2026 is ...

The US spent much of the past two years bracing for a downturn that never arrived. Instead of the contraction many analysts saw as inevitable, growth has accelerated, job losses have been limited, and ...

K jobs jolt markets. What the Strait of Hormuz risk means for inflation, recession odds and where investors should look next.

Consumer spending flat; construction, manufacturing contracting, he says Zandi blames tariffs, immigration policy for economic struggles Low jobless rate masks shrinking workforce, hiring freezes ...

Building on Ben Bernanke’s widely used recession probability model, we invented a better model using exactly the same data. I have modeled recession forecasts since 2006. Our new method is a ...