Despite labor weakness, the broader economy shows resilience. The Fed's revised forecast of 2.3% growth for 2026 suggests ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

California is halfway through a recession that should begin to clear by next spring, although the recovery will be slow and the tech-heavy Bay Area will bear the brunt of the economic downturn, ...

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.

A weak jobs report in recent days raised alarm among some analysts that the U.S. economy may be slipping toward a recession. Hiring slowed sharply over the summer, federal government data showed. The ...

US economic resilience over the last 15 years has been a tailwind for investors — but after a forecast-defying stretch of growth, it's also creating a big blind spot in the market. The economy's ...

Torsten Sløk has said the risk of stagflation still hangs over the US economy. The Apollo chief economist pointed to lower growth and higher inflation expectations due to tariffs. The top economist ...

A recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. Yet an economic downturn — formally defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP growth — has yet to happen. "A recession is obviously ...

As fears of a recession grow, Connecticut’s finances enjoy unprecedented protection, with one new forecast from Gov. Ned Lamont’s administration projecting a moderate downturn wouldn’t even drain the ...

Goldman Sachs rescinded its recession forecast after Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause, excluding China. Previously, the bank raised its 12-month recession odds to 45% from 35%, citing Trump’s ...