Nature

Probabilistic Weather Forecasting and Ensemble Prediction Systems

Probabilistic weather forecasting represents a paradigm shift from single-value predictions to probability distributions that quantify uncertainty in atmospheric states. Ensemble prediction systems ...
pv magazine International

Ultra-short-term PV forecasting based on convolutional neural network, long short-term memory

Scientists have created a novel probabilistic model for 5-minutes ahead PV power forecasting. The method combines a convolutional neural network with bidirectional long short-term memory, attention ...
Phys.org

Predicting chaotic weather systems is probability, not certainty

What happened to the scorching El Niño summer we were bracing for? Why has the east coast of Australia been drenched while the north and west gets the heat? The criticism is understandable. But is it ...
Grist

Traditional weather forecasting is slow and expensive. AI could help.

Every day, meteorologist Hannah Wangari takes the free graphs and maps produced by the five forecasting models she subscribes to and interprets what she sees. “What’s the likelihood of rain in ...
Forbes

Let’s Talk About AI And Weather Forecasting

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I am a risk communicator focused on the impact of weather on business. Jul 15, 2025, 08:30am EDT The combination of AI, advanced ...
Insider Monkey

Implied Probability Is the Only Forecast You Can Audit

Markets are full of predictions that cannot be checked until after the fact. Implied probability is different. It is already priced, already quantified, and therefore testable. When you translate a ...