The U.S. is reportedly preparing to attack Iran amid escalating tensions with the Islamic Republic. President Donald Trump on Thursday warned Iran of “really bad things” if it doesn't strike a deal on ...

Are prediction markets more profitable than sportsbooks? Compare pricing, probability, and strategy to find where the real betting value lies.

If you're not a Federal Reserve economist, you should probably still be wary of Kalshi.

Research is casting prediction markets as policy-relevant forecasting tools just as state regulators escalate efforts to ...

Ryan Blaney tops my Daytona 500 predictions for 2026. He's a two-time winner over this course and a three-time winner on a similar track in Talladega. William Byron seems to be getting overlooked in ...

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

Trading Seahawks vs. Patriots at Kalshi is extremely straightforward. If you want to bet on AJ Barner to score the first ...

The betting market for the Gonzaga Bulldogs reflects cautious optimism following a significant mid-season roster shift. While Gonzaga’s resume is bolstered by high-conviction wins over Kentucky, UCLA, ...

Gold and silver seemed to be having their moment, with both the metals showing increased volatility over the past few weeks. Prediction markets are converging on a relatively narrow range for gold ...

Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...